What to expect from the GPU market in 2022. When are gpu prices expected to drop

Damn I sold mine too cheap I thought it was a bit broken as I had to crank it up from the factory OC but it probably had some incompatibility with my PSU.

GPU Market Pricing Back in Uptrend, Shattering Expectations of Price Normalization

According to the latest market price analysis by 3DCenter, the falling GPU prices we wrote about two months ago are currently in a reversal phase. The latest figures show an increase in the average price of both AMD RX 6000 series graphics cards and NVIDIA RTX 30 series graphics cards. 6%. This puts the latest GPUs from both companies at 59% above the MSRP for NVIDIA and 64% for AMD.

Burning ETH 619 as part of transactions carried out on the network – the equivalent of USD 433 768 155 at current ETH prices. And with the news that shipments of NVIDIA RTX 3060 and 3060 Ti graphics cards will be halved in September, coupled with TSMC’s price hike for newly minted waffles, it seems that upward pressure on GPU prices is inevitable.

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• january 17, 2022 Custom NVIDIA RTX 3090 Ti graphics cards hit $ 4,000 in Europe (103)
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• on January 4, 2022, Razer announces the brand new Blade gaming laptops at CES 2022 (2)

88 Comments on GPU Market Pricing Back in Uptrend, Shattering Expectations of Price Normalization

Or join the professional Dota2 team, better chances of winning The International than of getting the GPU at MSRP: roll:

Tomorrow, for the first time, there should be 3080 on sale for 1k $ and you’re already telling me it’s over 🙂

I was able to throw away my nearly 2 year old rx5700 and buy a new triple 3060ti 3 fan for the same money. So let’s roll the dice again, this time maybe I’ll end up with 3080.

In the Netherlands, the Strix 3060 Ti still costs € 1,011.

I officially resigned from receiving a new card.

Hopefully Intel will lower the prices and the 4000 series will be cheaper.

The DeeGeeA Strix 3060 Ti still costs € 1011 in the Netherlands.

I officially resigned from receiving a new card.

Hopefully Intel will lower the prices and the 4000 series will be cheaper.

The only good thing is that the older cards will go up as well. My 980ti is worth more than I paid for it, it will probably go up as well

Gruffalo.Soldier The good thing is older cards will go up as well. My 980ti is worth more than I paid for it, it will probably go up as well

I was thinking of trying to sell my 980Ti cards on eBay or amazon, but felt like I was just twisting others by trying to get the highest dollar I could for them. Plus, I had terrible contacts with some of the people on eBay and Amazon before (lots of lying bits of shit) so I offered them on TPU. Hopefully a few of the people they went to can use them well for a while.

I am not surprised. I have heard expectations that perhaps in 2022 we will be able to see more reasonable prices with GPUs.

Gruffalo.Soldier The good thing is older cards will go up as well. My 980ti is worth more than I paid for it, it will probably go up as well

Damn I sold mine too cheap I thought it was a bit broken as I had to crank it up from the factory OC but it probably had some incompatibility with my PSU.

I’m gonna sit on this 1080 and move on to older games if trend becomes the norm tbh. Maybe, maybe I’ll just drop 500ish on a solid GPU again, but definitely not this generation.

Even if you get it in this generation, we’re already late and the price hasn’t changed with its age. F is Turing SUPER again minus better offer. Remember what happened to this 2080ti price. Remember it well 😉

Graphics cards from Nvidia and AMD have experienced price spikes in the past due to an ongoing chip shortage. As expected, chip makers would double production to gradually keep up with demand at the expense of taking higher value from consumers.

Intel Arc Alchemist GPUs

Perhaps the most exciting news about the GPU in 2022 is Intel’s Arc Alchemist graphics cards. Intel makes a lot of GPUs, but Arc Alchemist is designing a slot-in desktop GPU that focuses on games for the first time.

Rumors have suggested that Intel will introduce cards at CES, which is, in a way, true. Intel has announced that Arc Alchemist will be appearing on more than 50 desktops and laptops “soon” at CES, but the company has not disclosed details of what cards are in the range, when they come out, or how much they will cost. So far, we know of a few laptops – like the Alienware X17 – with the Arc GPU, but no other details otherwise.

Rumor has it that the flagship card in the range will work close to the RTX 3070, but I’m waiting for Intel to release more. Intel has already shared some information about the XeSS scaling feature that will be included with these graphics cards. It works similarly to Nvidia Deep Learning Super Sampling (DLSS), and Intel announced that Hitman 3, The Riftbreaker, and Death Stranding: Director’s Cut will support this feature at launch.

For too long, the GPU market has been mired in competition between AMD and Nvidia, so I can’t wait to see what Intel can do with Arc Alchemist. XeSS looks destructive enough, and as long as the cards perform as rumors suggest, we’ll have a third competitor in the ring. That said, we’re already in the boot window Intel announced for Arc Alchemist, and we still don’t know much about cards.

New mobile GPUs from AMD and Nvidia

Dan Baker / digital trends

Nvidia recently launched the 12GB variant of the RTX 2060 Super, and Nvidia and AMD made new desktop announcements at CES. AMD brought the RX 6500 XT for $ 199, and Nvidia showed the RTX 3050 for $ 249 and the RTX 3090 Ti. Nvidia also quietly released the 12GB variant of the RTX 3080, which was not featured at CES.

That’s it for desktop classifieds now. For the first half of the year, Nvidia and AMD focus on mobile graphics. AMD has unveiled eight new mobile GPU designs at CES, including new RX 6000S cards. These cards are the opposite of the Nvidia Max-Q offering, focusing on performance per watt rather than raw performance.

Nvidia only unveiled two new mobile GPUs, but they are good. The mobile RTX 3080 Ti and RTX 3070 Ti models will eventually replace non-Ti laptops and should offer significant performance gains. Nvidia says the mobile RTX 3080 Ti is more powerful than the Titan RTX desktop, which is really impressive.

I do not suspect that we will see more mobile GPUs from Nvidia or AMD, at least not from the current generation. We can see some special editions, but AMD and Nvidia after CES put together the cell phone lines.

Nvidia only unveiled two new mobile GPUs, but they are good. The mobile RTX 3080 Ti and RTX 3070 Ti models will eventually replace non-Ti laptops and should offer significant performance gains. Nvidia says the mobile RTX 3080 Ti is more powerful than the Titan RTX desktop, which is really impressive.

Are GPU Prices Going Down? Or Coming Up?

According to Business Insider, GPU prices are expected to rise due to the rise in Ethereum prices, which is an essential component of Nvidia GPUs.

In fact, Ethereum’s prices have risen more than 23% in the past few weeks%.

At the same time, however, we experienced a drop in the prices of some GPUs. For example, Nvidia’s RTX 3080Ti and RTX 3090 dropped to 20-25% from the suggested retail price.

But, given the rise in Ethereum prices, we’re not entirely sure if GPU prices will continue to fall or rise.

Also, the demand for GPUs for cryptocurrency mining is increasing over time and it is difficult to decide whether manufacturers will be able to develop enough GPUs or not.

Want detailed information on the effect of GPU power cap? Read our definitive guide on the importance of the GPU power cap: Understanding the GPU for this purpose.

That said, here’s a helpful chart outlining the rising prices of GPUs.

Nvidia And AMD GPU Prices (March 2021):

Below is a pricing table of various Nvidia and AMD GPUs. It clearly shows how much GPU prices have risen.

Item	Retail price	Street price (December 2020)	Street price (March 2021)	The current value
Nvidia RTX 3090	400 499	3500.076	3500 985	1.99x
Nvidia RTX 3080	699	400 227	3500,160	3.09x
Nvidia RTX 3070	$ 499	$ 819	400 239	2.48x
Nvidia RTX 3060 Ti	$ 399	675	400 226	3.07x
Nvidia RTX 3060	pLN 329	Not applicable	828	2.5x
AMD RX 6900 XT	$ 999	Not applicable	400 841	1.84x
AMD RX 6800 XT	649	400.232	400 555	2.4x
AMD RX 6800	579	841	400 331	2.3x
AMD RX 6700 XT	479	Not applicable	400,169	2.4x

Note: Prices may vary depending on release date, demand and shortages at the time.

Is GPU Shortage Over?

While you may have to pay double or even triple the original price, the GPU shortage is almost over. Finally, there are enough different GPUs on the market that you can buy.

However, it can be difficult to use different units of the same model.

To completely eliminate the GPU shortage, all major manufacturers are busy designing next-gen GPUs, most notably Nvidia, AMD, and Intel. While Intel is expected to release its Arc Alchemist GPUs in early 2022, we don’t know when Nvidia and AMD will launch their next GPUs.

Finding if the motherboard is compatible with your GPU or not can be exhausting. Find out how to conveniently check your motherboard and graphics card compatibility in our guide.

NVIDIA’s reliance on Samsung is slowing it down, according to the report, as the latter company is not producing chips fast enough. However, for the next generation of GPUs, NVIDIA will rely on TSMC for its production responsibilities, which should help with the performance hassle given TSMC’s processes and its edge over Samsung.

GPU Pricing Update

Now let’s talk about the current GPU market. Cryptocurrencies remain strong overall, with most coins, including Ethereum, appreciating in the past month. This has also caused increased difficulties, suggesting that there is still interest in increasing the stocks of GPUs used for mining. Profitability rose for most of the month, until the last few days when the cryptocurrency had cooled down somewhat and left month-to-month profitability unchanged. In other words, 2021 has been a fairly typical month for a major GPU pricing driver.

Street prices for the new GPUs were estimated from last week’s eBay auctions, which showed that after a few months of relatively low prices, prices rose in November.

This is expected given what happened on the cryptocurrency side, where scalper prices reflect cryptocurrency prices to a lesser extent and with little lag. Nvidia GPUs saw an average price increase of 6% month-on-month, with the RTX 3090 and RTX 3060 Ti recording the highest increases and the RTX 3070 having the lowest increases by 4%.

Manufacturer’s suggested retail price	average eBay price in September	average price of eBay in October	average price of eBay in November	Current price inflation	Price increase from October to November
GeForce RTX 3090	400,500	3,500,863	3500 818	$ 3,107	107%	10%
GeForce RTX 3080 Ti	400 200	400.880	400 851	400 916	60%	4%
GeForce RTX 3080	700 PLN	400 673	400 534	400 584	126%	3%
GeForce RTX 3070 Ti	600 PLN	400 191	400.151	400 227	104%	7%
GeForce RTX 3070	pLN 500	400.180	400 121	400,170	134%	4%
GeForce RTX 3060 Ti	pLN 400	$ 866	860	946	136%	10%
GeForce RTX 3060	330	pLN 708	692	739	124%	7%
Average	113%	6%

Despite these hikes, Nvidia GPUs are still selling at some of the lowest prices we saw in 2021. Prices are similar to the level we observed in August and September, which is lower than the peaks recorded in 2020.

Manufacturer’s suggested retail price	average eBay price in September	average price of eBay in October	average price of eBay in November	Current price inflation	Price increase from October to November
Radeon 6900 XT	400,000	400 569	400 493	400 585	59%	6%
Radeon 6800 XT	650	400 411	400 388	400 524	134%	10%
Radeon 6800	$ 580	400 309	400 254	400 413	144%	13%
Radeon 6700 XT	$ 480	$ 881	872	$ 980	104%	12%
Radeon RX 6600 XT	$ 380	pLN 639	$ 621	689	81%	11%
Radeon RX 6600	330	$ 571	584 PLN	77%	2%
Average	100%	9%

Used GPU Pricing

As the number of all-new current generation GPUs increases, so does the growth in the used market. The GeForce RTX 20 series saw price increases worldwide, with a 6 percent increase month-to-month.

The RTX 2060 Super was the hardest hit, and somehow it sells an average of $ 30 more than the RTX 2070. All of these GPUs are selling well above their original MSRP.

Manufacturer’s suggested retail price	average eBay price in September	average price of eBay in October	average price of eBay in November	Current price inflation	Price increase from October to November
GeForce RTX 2080 Ti	400,000	400,158	400 102	400.182	18%	7%
GeForce RTX 2080 Super	700 PLN	pLN 804	786	841	twenty%	7%
GeForce RTX 2080	700 PLN	736	$ 713	$ 772	10%	8%
GeForce RTX 2070 Super	pLN 500	720	$ 722	$ 768 USD	54%	6%
GeForce RTX 2070	pLN 500	650	$ 676	700 PLN	40%	3%
GeForce RTX 2060 Super	pLN 400	$ 662	657	732	83%	11%
GeForce RTX 2060	350	pLN 514	pLN 535	543 PLN	55%	1%
Average	40%	6%

Manufacturer’s suggested retail price	average eBay price in September	average price of eBay in October	average price of eBay in November	Current price inflation	Price increase from October to November
GeForce GTX 1660 Ti	$ 280	$ 491	pLN 476	497	78%	4%
GeForce GTX 1660 Super	230	pLN 494	$ 486	520 PLN	126%	7
GeForce GTX 1660	220	378	387	$ 417	90%	8%
GeForce GTX 1650 Super	$ 160	$ 302	299	$ 315	97%	6%
GeForce GTX 1650	pLN 150	$ 262	$ 266	$ 263	75%	-1%
Average	93%	5%

Manufacturer’s suggested retail price	average eBay price in September	average price of eBay in October	average price of eBay in November	Current price inflation	Price increase from October to November
GeForce GTX 1080 Ti	700 PLN	$ 676	669	697	0%	4%
GeForce GTX 1080	600 PLN	$ 459	pLN 464	pLN 508	-15%	10%
GeForce GTX 1070 Ti	450	451	$ 453	$ 462	3%	2%
GeForce GTX 1070	$ 380	373	$ 380	pLN 416	9%	9%
GTX 1060 6 GB graphics card	pLN 250	309	297	326	thirty%	10%
GeForce GTX 1060 3 GB	pLN 200	$ 214	$ 214	235	17%	10%
Average	7%	7%

Nvidia recently launched the 12GB variant of the RTX 2060 Super, and Nvidia and AMD made new desktop announcements at CES. AMD brought the RX 6500 XT for $ 199, and Nvidia showed the RTX 3050 for $ 249 and the RTX 3090 Ti. Nvidia also quietly released the 12GB variant of the RTX 3080, which was not featured at CES.

Nvidia and AMD GPU Prices Dropped

(Photo: Christian Wiediger from Unsplash)
Nvidia and AMD GPU prices are falling amid a declining cryptocurrency market.

For those who have been looking for the right time to purchase a graphics card, this might be a suitable opportunity to get hold of one. In Europe, 3DCenter noted that the prices of these GPUs are currently falling.

According to a German source, the value of this component could be “directly proportional to what is happening now in the cryptocurrency market.” In short, we can expect the prices of these GeForce and Radeon cards to drop steadily as ETH hit an all-time low in the past six months.

For example, the Nvidia RTX 3080 was $ 400,773 a few months ago. The MSRP for this product may be out of control, especially for those on a tight budget.

Things worsened as its price rose sharply from November to December 2021. However, a January report found it dropped below 400,600 on average, an 11% drop.

In addition to the RTX 3080, other GPUs such as the AMD Radeon RX 6000 and RTX 3000 fell to 5 to 10%. However, things were different with the RX 6900 XT, which was a solitary graphics card that experienced a price spike.

Coming back to Tom’s Hardware, the tech service noted earlier that scalpers seized the opportunity to sell a graphics card on eBay and elsewhere due to the high volume of sales.

One possible reason why GPU prices are falling everywhere is consumer choice. Somehow, some of them prefer to avoid hitting the platform scalper prices.

If you are thinking of buying now, it is advisable that you do so. Take the opportunity to catch one as it becomes available in your area.

Crypto Crash Equals GPU Price Drop?

In another report by The Verge, the decline in GPU prices could be linked to a major cryptocurrency crash. As miners rely on GPUs, they could no longer hoard them and sell them twice the real price.

At the moment, there are no indications that supply has already kept pace with demand as finding GPUs continues to be a challenge for users. AMD and Nvidia predicted the delivery of cards in the second half of this year.

And yet Newegg had 3080 Ti for less than $ 2,000 most of the weekend, and one is still available, and there are still 6000-series GPUs at very high prices, I can only assume that means scalpers are wary.

Windows 11 product satisfaction is highest of all Windows, says Microsoft

According to Microsoft, Windows 11 is rolling out twice as fast as Windows 10 via upgrade offers. In addition, the Windows 11 upgrade offer is entering the final stage of availability, which Microsoft did not anticipate until mid-2022.

Intel’s €1.06 billion antitrust fine overturned by EU’s General Court

The European Union Court has just lifted a € 1.06 billion fine imposed on Intel in 2009. The fine was initially imposed after the European Commission found that Intel was abusing its dominant position in the processor market to foreclose competitors.

The prices of older AMD GPUs have also increased. As before, RX 580 graphics cards are not worth buying for games compared to the GTX 1060. If you had asked me a few years ago if we would still be talking about the RX 580 and GTX 1060 in late 2021, I would have said you were dreaming, but here we are.

When will things get better?

The most important question to answer first is that accessibility won’t improve this year. CLX was sure of this, saying “The holiday season will be another difficult time for availability, especially as we see demand rising. People tend to make larger purchases while on vacation, such as gaming PCs and consoles. As a result, the GPU market is likely to experience more shortages that will continue to affect the industry until 2022. ” The cold weather will also force more people to go home to do things like gaming, and many of them will be inclined to buy new graphics cards to improve their experience.

As long as consumer demand remains high, we can also expect an increasing number of component shortages until companies can significantly improve their supply chains. According to Nvidia, Intel, AMD and TSMC, this is not expected until the end of 2022 or possibly even 2023. For an additional look at the situation, we asked CLX about the shortcomings.

“For sure, the situation will remain tense and I do not expect supply to return to pre-COVID levels in the near future. We expect the situation to improve, but demand remains very high and companies are catching up. It’s important to understand that everyone who manufactures components is also focused on building up reserves for the future. For the past year and a half, everyone has gone through huge reserves and has not been able to return to a comfortable place. It will take some time, ”said CLX.

According to TSMC, some companies are artificially making things worse by overstocking on chips and other components, leaving limited inventory to other manufacturers. Industry analyst Daniel Nenni believes that this will eventually force companies to discharge excess supplies, and if the overall market capacity increases too quickly before companies are able to take advantage of the excess supply, stockpiling practices can cause oversupply situations and a market collapse.

While we cannot say with certainty what is happening to the entire market, there seems to be imbalances in the supply chains creating confusion over what needs to be prioritized to fix global chip shortages. Nenni believes that the current pressure to build more semiconductor factories in the United States and Europe is excessive. Manufacturers like TSMC are producing chips in record numbers according to earnings reports, and Nenni further says the graphics card shortages are more closely linked to supply chain weaknesses that Covid exposed.

Indeed, until the complications caused by Covid are alleviated, we can expect more of the same problems in supply chains until suppliers are able to implement long-term solutions. And if they are over-deployed, there will be a greater risk of inevitable failure. While oversupply and low prices would be great for consumers, companies certainly try to avoid it by not leaving all current demand unanswered. This is a difficult situation to resolve, but it is clear that global demand for computer hardware will remain high for the foreseeable future. Companies like Antonline and CLX continue to record incredibly high computer sales, and rising cryptocurrency prices are also fueling the shortage of graphics cards.

The rundown and the recommendation

For all the reasons mentioned above, and more that we haven’t even mentioned, we figured it would just take the market some time to adjust to the current shortage of graphics cards. Supply simply won’t be able to keep up with demand unless something drastic happens, such as a cryptocurrency crash, a significant drop in Covid cases, or a crash caused by oversupply. Unfortunately, neither of these things seem inevitable at the time of this writing, and if there is an oversupply crash poised, it is still possible, perhaps in late 2022 or 2023.

So what should you do if you want a new graphics card now? Well, the answer is quite obvious. If money is the main limitation and you can only afford the suggested retail prices, you may just have to wait this generation out unless you want to spend the time tracking down your graphics card.

From what we understand, a visit to a brick-and-mortar store like Micro Center that receives regular shipments is probably your best bet if you are tied to cash. However, even then, you may not find the card you want, and you will likely have to pay a small premium for labeled AIB models such as ASUS, MSI, etc.

The AIB models for the 6700 XT are among the worst offenders when it comes to margins.

If you are more flexible on your budget, you can try the same and just raise extra cash for a high-end model or buy a package online. There is also the option to purchase a ready-made or custom PC / laptop where you can find better availability and get the graphics card you want.

Finally, you can just pay the scalper prices and get exactly what you want. But you should only do this if you don’t mind being able to return prices and availability back to normal in a year’s time. In addition, a new generation of more powerful graphics cards from AMD, Nvidia and Intel will probably appear by then. One year, however, is a long wait and there is no guarantee as to that time due to the lack of a graphics card. At least at this stage, you can make an informed decision.

We would like to thank Cat Camerford of Antonline and Jorge Percival of CLX for taking the time to answer the topic of GPU availability.